(Photo of the Averill Park girls defense from earlier in the year.)
Bracket graphics sent to us from Mark Bubniak.
Every tournament takes into account each team’s current ranking and their current path to the title. Teams are broken down into 4 different categories based on their overall chance to win it all according to the rankings. They are as followed:
Each team is automatically classified into four categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
Class AAA
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AAA Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Shen | 100.00% | 73.06% | 39.29% | Favorite |
| Albany | 100.00% | 62.64% | 35.22% | Favorite |
| Shaker | 91.74% | 36.93% | 17.27% | Contender |
| Colonie | 50.15% | 13.54% | 4.12% | Long Shot |
| Saratoga | 49.85% | 13.40% | 4.06% | Long Shot |
| Schenectady | 8.26% | 0.42% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Shen and Albany. Both receive byes and advance to the semi-final round automatically in this six team tournament.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Not really. # 4 Colonie and # 5 Saratoga would have to play an above average game to beat Shen in the next round.
Additional thoughts:
Shaker the #3 seed can play with #2 Albany in the semi-final round. They'll need a big game from standout Peyton Hoblock to advance. Shen is the silght favorite to take the crown.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| Albany | AAA | Azera Gates,Iyana Weeden,Jordan Johnson, |
| Shen | AAA | Abby Stuart,Gabby Stuart,Kate Milham, |
| Shaker | AAA | Jayla Geter,Lexi Carrington,Peyton Hoblock,Sierra Carter, |
| Colonie | AAA | Aliyah Pearson,Ella Trimarchi,Grace Baumann, |
| Saratoga | AAA | Carly Wise,Ella Gennoy, |
| Schenectady | AAA | Jayda Palmer,Izabella Hempstead,Rae Smith |
Class AA
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AA Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Averill Park | 100.00% | 84.42% | 71.28% | 48.56% | Favorite |
| Bethlehem | 100.00% | 77.33% | 43.03% | 19.65% | Contender |
| Columbia | 100.00% | 77.31% | 42.99% | 19.63% | Contender |
| Queensbury | 100.00% | 50.04% | 10.48% | 3.18% | Long Shot |
| Niskayuna | 100.00% | 49.96% | 10.45% | 3.16% | Long Shot |
| Ballston Spa | 76.41% | 20.53% | 6.71% | 1.71% | Long Shot |
| Guilderland | 75.81% | 20.41% | 6.68% | 1.70% | Long Shot |
| Burnt Hills | 50.09% | 7.82% | 3.91% | 1.19% | Long Shot |
| Mohonasen | 49.91% | 7.76% | 3.88% | 1.17% | Long Shot |
| Amsterdam | 24.19% | 2.28% | 0.30% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Averill Park is 20-0 on the season and the favorite to win their 10th straight sectional title. Led by Taylor Holohan, Arianna Verardi and Kayleigh Ahern on offense and a smothering defense it will take a huge team effort to knock them off.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
No real longshots in this classification.
Additional thoughts:
Mohonasen vs. Burnt Hills in the opening round should be an even game. As will Niskayuna vs. Queensbury in the 4/5 quarterfinal matchup. Columbia and Bethlehem on a collision course for a semi-final game that will be must watch.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| Averill Park | AA | Arianna Verardi,Kayleigh Ahern,Taylor Holohan, |
| Bethlehem | AA | Caroline Davis,Kaitlyn Robbins,Paige Davenport, |
| Columbia | AA | Alivia Landy,Kendyl Ouimette,Sarah Rainville, |
| Burnt Hills | AA | Taniyah Monforte, |
| Guilderland | AA | Brooke Lilly,Christina Williams, |
| Queensbury | AA | Dyllan Ray,Kaitlyn Barton,Shea Canavan, |
| Niskayuna | AA | Olivia O'Meally,Skye Linyear, |
| Mohonasen | AA | Caitlyn Richmond,Isabella Petrocci, |
| Ballston Spa | AA | Aubrey Kramer,Sophia Lee, |
| Amsterdam | AA | Ellie Tirado,Felise Fowler,Mia Natale, |
| South Glens Falls | AA | Bailee Wolfe,C. McDonough,Jordan Wolfe, |
| Troy | AA | Amaya Harris, |
Class A
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class A Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Catholic Cent. | 100.00% | 91.23% | 71.47% | 55.92% | Favorite |
| Holy Names | 100.00% | 79.64% | 48.38% | 16.50% | Contender |
| Schalmont | 100.00% | 75.67% | 22.82% | 12.73% | Contender |
| Broadalbin-Perth | 100.00% | 71.54% | 36.53% | 10.98% | Contender |
| Glens Falls | 100.00% | 28.46% | 8.65% | 1.28% | Long Shot |
| Scotia | 100.00% | 24.33% | 3.05% | 0.91% | Long Shot |
| Emma Willard | 68.43% | 16.59% | 5.70% | 0.84% | Long Shot |
| Gloversville | 50.17% | 4.42% | 1.34% | 0.40% | Long Shot |
| Hudson Falls | 49.83% | 4.35% | 1.32% | 0.39% | Long Shot |
| Cohoes | 31.57% | 3.77% | 0.73% | 0.05% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Catholic Central is the overwhelming favorite. The Colonial Council champs have a balanced offensive attack.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
#4 Schalmont should get another chance vs. Catholic Central if the seeds hold up. The Sabres lost by 10 points in their most recent matchup with the Crusaders.
Additional thoughts:
A Holy Names vs Broadalbin Perth potential semi-final round game would be a close contest between the Colonial Council vs. Foothills Council teams.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| Catholic Cent. | A | Akarri Gaddy,El' Dior Dobere,Kristen Foglia,Tanavia Turpin, |
| Schalmont | A | Arianna Brandon,Gianna Cirilla,Karissa Antoine, |
| Holy Names | A | Maggie Volmer,Ryan Carroll,Sophia Bologna, |
| Broadalbin-Perth | A | Camille Calderone,Macie Perry,Mairead Marsden,Molly Russom, |
| Glens Falls | A | Danielle Gooden,Piper Eddy, |
| Scotia | A | Jessica Bodden,Karaline McCarthy, |
| Emma Willard | A | Alison Opaku,Audrey Shields, |
| Gloversville | A | Angelina Christman,Shiasia Williams,Zoie Tesi, |
| Hudson Falls | A | Mya Nolan,Seneca Williamson, |
| ICC | A | Ariana Henry,Caroline Rapport, |
| Cohoes | A | Taylor Hickey, |
| Ravena | A | Hayden Wolfe, |
Class B
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class B Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| A. Academy | 100.00% | 90.72% | 82.25% | 74.69% | Favorite |
| Greenville | 100.00% | 50.55% | 26.39% | 4.43% | Long Shot |
| Corinth | 68.06% | 34.06% | 17.01% | 2.82% | Long Shot |
| Mechanicville | 50.18% | 28.00% | 13.99% | 2.33% | Long Shot |
| Voorheesville | 49.82% | 27.72% | 13.80% | 2.28% | Long Shot |
| Cobleskill | 50.22% | 24.89% | 12.89% | 2.13% | Long Shot |
| Fonda | 49.78% | 24.56% | 12.66% | 2.08% | Long Shot |
| Stillwater | 50.14% | 25.20% | 3.32% | 1.68% | Long Shot |
| Coxsackie-Athens | 50.36% | 25.17% | 3.31% | 1.67% | Long Shot |
| La Salle | 49.86% | 24.99% | 3.28% | 1.66% | Long Shot |
| Schuylerville | 49.64% | 24.64% | 3.20% | 1.61% | Long Shot |
| Watervliet | 50.14% | 4.67% | 2.33% | 1.18% | Long Shot |
| Tamarac | 49.86% | 4.61% | 2.30% | 1.16% | Long Shot |
| Catskill | 31.94% | 10.22% | 3.26% | 0.28% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Albany Academy. They are almost 30+ points clear of the next tier of teams in this class based on the season long computer rankings. Just an overwhelming favorite to win. They are well coached and led by Alex Leonard, Bella Vincent and Eva Gitto.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Yes. A bunch of teams can win a couple games as all the teams below Albany Academy have beaten up on each other in non-league action throughout the season.
Additional thoughts:
There look like some good first round games including Watervliet/Tamarac, Stillwater/La Salle, Schuylerville/Coxsackie Athens, Fonda/Cobleskill, and Mechanicville/Voorheesville.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| A. Academy | B | Alex Leonard,Bella Vincent,Eva Gitto, |
| Greenville | B | Aislinn O'Hare,Bryn Fitzmaurice,Emily Smith, |
| Stillwater | B | Addison Thornton,Andie Luskin,Miranda Price, |
| Mechanicville | B | Ella Zecca,Lila Christensen, |
| Corinth | B | |
| Coxsackie-Athens | B | Baileigh Briski,Reaghan Hellen,Riley Sitcer, |
| La Salle | B | Kate Gilooly,Macy Laporta, |
| Cobleskill | B | Ainsley Mummenthey,Riley France, |
| Voorheesville | B | Mia Carmody, |
| Watervliet | B | Leniyah Leslie,Zoie Wass, |
| Tamarac | B | Kayla Beaudoin,Myanna Faraj, |
| Fonda | B | Kieonna Christmas,Samara Hunt, |
| Schuylerville | B | |
| Hudson | B | Maliah Jackson, |
| Catskill | B | Alessia Salierno,Ava Edmond, |
| Taconic Hills | B | Sam Henderson, |
| Rensselaer | B | Harmony Lawson,Joslyn Teal, |
| Canajoharie | B | |
| Granville | B | |
| Cairo-Durham | B | Mackenzie Sherburne, |
| Johnstown | B |
Class C
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class C Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Greenwich | 100.00% | 82.77% | 66.57% | 42.62% | Favorite |
| Duanesburg | 100.00% | 79.29% | 62.05% | 34.78% | Favorite |
| Maple Hill | 83.03% | 46.44% | 12.33% | 4.27% | Long Shot |
| Berne-Knox | 82.82% | 46.30% | 13.73% | 4.23% | Long Shot |
| Warrensburg | 82.75% | 45.78% | 12.05% | 4.14% | Long Shot |
| Mayfield | 67.87% | 37.65% | 11.11% | 3.41% | Long Shot |
| Cambridge | 82.81% | 19.86% | 10.63% | 3.28% | Long Shot |
| Hoosick Falls | 71.99% | 14.95% | 7.83% | 2.69% | Long Shot |
| Chatham | 32.13% | 12.28% | 2.02% | 0.36% | Long Shot |
| OESJ | 28.01% | 2.28% | 0.70% | 0.12% | Long Shot |
| Waterford | 17.25% | 3.91% | 0.26% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Whitehall | 16.97% | 3.87% | 0.26% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Mekeel C.A. | 17.18% | 3.76% | 0.29% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
| Hadley-Luzerne | 17.19% | 0.84% | 0.17% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Greenwich and Duanesburg are on a collision course to play for the right to advance to regionals for the third straight season.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
# 4 Warrensburg, # 5 Maple Hill, # 6 Mayfield.
Additional thoughts:
Another girls classification where it would be a huge upset if any other teams besides Greenwich and Duanesburg meet in the finals.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| Greenwich | C | Adrianna Rojas,Brooke Kuzmich,Grace Autiello,Olivia Davis, |
| Duanesburg | C | Allison O'Hanlon,Hannah Mulhern, |
| Maple Hill | C | Addi Loszynski,Rosilee Forrest,Sydney Rogers, |
| Cambridge | C | Ashley Moses, |
| Berne-Knox | C | Annie Lendrum,Bella Daguillo,Emily Edwards,Katie Stevens,Molly Shaver, |
| Warrensburg | C | Eliana York,Hope Sherman,Zailey Baker, |
| Hoosick Falls | C | Ava Case,Mackenna Roberson, |
| Mayfield | C | Abigail Chest,Brianna Iannuzzi,Cloey Dopp, |
| Chatham | C | |
| OESJ | C | Brooke Trumble,Taylor Hayes, |
| Waterford | C | Maddy Atwood,Rachel McOmber, |
| Galway | C | Kiera Allen, |
| Hadley-Luzerne | C | Mackenzie Maskonka,Madison Lent, |
| Schoharie | C | Savannah Traverse, |
| Mekeel C.A. | C | Johanna Gardner,Sianna Dell, |
| Whitehall | C | Sam Howland, |
| Lake George | C | |
| Middleburgh | C | Payton Yung, |
| Berlin-New Lebanon | C |
Class D
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class D Girls | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Northville | 100.00% | 82.84% | 49.93% | Favorite |
| NDBG | 82.86% | 68.62% | 38.20% | Favorite |
| Hartford | 99.97% | 22.82% | 5.21% | Dark Horse |
| Saratoga Catholic | 50.07% | 8.60% | 2.36% | Long Shot |
| Salem | 49.93% | 8.56% | 2.35% | Long Shot |
| Argyle | 17.14% | 8.56% | 1.95% | Long Shot |
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Two teams. # 1 Northville and #3 Bishop Gibbons. The Falcons are led by 1000 point scorer Hailey Monroe and Keria Mackey. NDBG is paced by 1000 point scorer Angelina Deitz and Mia'Rose Wylie.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
In a six field tournament there aren't any teams below the top three that seem likely to win two games.
Additional thoughts:
Hartford split with Bishop Gibbons during the regular season and shouldn't be discounted although the season long #'s don't seem to prefer them to the other top seeds.
Click team name for season results. Players to watch in this classification are listed as top 150 scorers on the timesunion.com website.
| NDBG | D | Angelina Deitz,Mia'Rose Wylie, |
| Northville | D | Hailey Monroe,Keria Mackey, |
| Hartford | D | Alawnah Dunda,McKenzie Johnson, |
| Saratoga Catholic | D | Sophia Ryan, |
| Argyle | D | Ava Cormie,Raegan Humiston, |
| Fort Ann | D | |
| Salem | D | |
| North Warren | D |
