(Shane Kirker of Berne Knox Westerlo from last season. BKW is undefeated at 20-0 and the top seed in Class C. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
2024-25 brackets are from Section2atlethics.org.
Every tournament takes into account each team’s current ranking and their current path to the title. Teams are broken down into 4 different categories based on their overall chance to win it all according to the rankings. They are as followed:
Each team is automatically classified into four categories based on their pre-tournament odds of winning their respective bracket. Here’s the key:
>= 25% chance to win= Favorite
>= 10% & < 25% chance to win= Contender
>= 5% & < 10% chance to win= Dark Horse
< 5% chance to win= Long Shot
Class AAA
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AAA Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Green Tech-1 | 89.39% | 66.29% | 43.20% | Favorite |
| Shaker-2 | 77.48% | 47.05% | 23.03% | Contender |
| Shen-3 | 72.73% | 37.55% | 16.68% | Contender |
| CBA-4 | 67.10% | 23.61% | 10.75% | Contender |
| Albany-5 | 32.90% | 7.10% | 2.09% | Long Shot |
| Colonie-6 | 27.27% | 8.09% | 1.94% | Long Shot |
| Saratoga-7 | 22.52% | 7.30% | 1.69% | Long Shot |
| Schenectady/Guilderland-8/9 | 10.61% | 3.00% | 0.62% | Long Shot |
(Shaker's Mel Brown matched up against Green Tech's Indavier Barnes from last year's tournament. Round 2, next? Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Green Tech and Shaker look to have separated themselves some from the rest of the field. Green Tech is looking for their fourth straight large school bracket title. (AA in 22', AA in 23', AAA in 25') The Eagles are paced by Ramere Brown, Indavier Barnes, U'Mier Graham and Olivian Owens. Coach DJ Jones seems to always have his team playing their best ball at this point in the season. Shaker is the Suburban Council champ and led by coach Aric Kucel and loaded with talent including: Bless Demand, Mel Brown, Tye Mariano and Marcelin Mukendi.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Shenendehowa and CBA are the next two best teams below the top 2. Shen is 18-2 with their only losses to Shaker and CBA. CBA has figured some things out, winning their last four games, after an uneven start to the season under first year coach Galal Cancer. Both teams have impact players and should handle business and get to Glens Falls for the semi-finals. The Plainsmen have been knocked out of the tournament the last three years in the quarter-final round at HVCC, something that doesn't happen too often to that program. I fully expect them to make it to the Cool Insuring Arena this year with a solid shot of winning the title.
Additional thoughts:
Colonie, Albany and Saratoga are in the next tier in the Class AAA hierarchy. Could one of them upset a top seed, maybe..... but they'd have to play well above their full season body of work? Colonie graduated impact players from their great season last year. Albany and Saratoga haven't been as consistent as they both would like. Guilderland and Schenectady round out the field.
Click team name for season results.
| Albany | AAA |
| CBA | AAA |
| Colonie | AAA |
| Green Tech | AAA |
| Guilderland | AAA |
| Saratoga | AAA |
| Schenectady | AAA |
| Shaker | AAA |
| Shen | AAA |
Class AA
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class AA Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Niskayuna-1 | 100.00% | 77.10% | 54.69% | 35.45% | Favorite |
| La Salle-2 | 100.00% | 81.60% | 54.66% | 29.09% | Favorite |
| Troy-3 | 100.00% | 59.70% | 25.23% | 9.98% | Dark Horse |
| Amsterdam-4 | 100.00% | 55.77% | 20.74% | 9.49% | Dark Horse |
| Bethlehem-5 | 65.52% | 32.48% | 11.95% | 5.42% | Dark Horse |
| Averill Park-6 | 67.29% | 30.82% | 11.84% | 4.23% | Long Shot |
| Ballston Spa-7 | 57.38% | 14.50% | 6.62% | 2.63% | Long Shot |
| Queensbury-8 | 42.62% | 8.40% | 3.23% | 1.07% | Long Shot |
| Columbia-12 | 34.48% | 11.75% | 2.78% | 0.86% | Long Shot |
| Mohonasen-10 | 50.75% | 9.46% | 3.12% | 0.69% | Long Shot |
| South Glens Falls-7 | 49.25% | 8.94% | 2.89% | 0.62% | Long Shot |
| Burnt Hills-11 | 32.71% | 9.49% | 2.26% | 0.48% | Long Shot |
(Daniel Smalls of Niskayuna looks to lead the Silver Warriors to another crown. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes, Niskayuna and La Salle. They met in last year's sectional final with the Silver Warriors taking home the crown and are the favorites to meet again this year. The Silver Warriors are led by Coach Mike Grasso and have standout players including Daniel Smalls, Ethan Gilson, Brady Olsen and Garrett Gilloley. La Salle with Coach Orlando Dibacco has a dynamic duo of Sophomore's Tra'Dell "Treddy" Faison and Davon Maloney.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Amsterdam, Bethlehem, Averill Park and Troy. Each of these four teams could get to the sectional final if they play to their potential. Troy's Stetson Merritt is a much watch player. A possible game in the quarterfinals of Troy vs Averill Park would be an interesting test for Merritt and the Flying Horses against the Warriors stout defense. Same goes for Amsterdam/Bethlehem if they meet in the round of eight. Two even strength teams one from the Foothills, Amsterdam, versus Bethlehem from the Suburban Council.
Additional thoughts:
The next group of teams that could cause trouble for higher seeds include Queensbury, Ballston Spa and Columbia. Mohonasen, South Glens Falls and Burnt Hills will need to get hot to win two games in this bracket.
Click team name for season results.
| Amsterdam | AA |
| Averill Park | AA |
| Ballston Spa | AA |
| Bethlehem | AA |
| Burnt Hills | AA |
| Columbia | AA |
| La Salle | AA |
| Mohonasen | AA |
| Niskayuna | AA |
| Queensbury | AA |
| South Glens Falls | AA |
| Troy | AA |
Class A
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class A Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Glens Falls-1 | 100.00% | 96.37% | 81.69% | 70.87% | Favorite |
| Hudson Falls-2 | 100.00% | 72.72% | 47.87% | 11.31% | Contender |
| Hudson-4 | 88.44% | 73.53% | 16.03% | 9.78% | Dark Horse |
| Catholic Cent.-3 | 100.00% | 72.04% | 32.94% | 5.56% | Dark Horse |
| Gloversville-7 | 63.12% | 19.72% | 9.34% | 1.15% | Long Shot |
| ICC-6 | 60.72% | 19.11% | 5.42% | 0.45% | Long Shot |
| Watervliet-5 | 59.84% | 14.57% | 0.87% | 0.25% | Long Shot |
| Cohoes-10 | 36.88% | 7.56% | 2.63% | 0.19% | Long Shot |
| Broadalbin-Perth-8 | 53.85% | 2.14% | 0.60% | 0.17% | Long Shot |
| Ravena-11 | 39.28% | 8.85% | 1.79% | 0.09% | Long Shot |
| Lansingburgh-9 | 46.15% | 1.49% | 0.37% | 0.09% | Long Shot |
| Schalmont-12 | 40.16% | 7.17% | 0.28% | 0.06% | Long Shot |
| Scotia-13 | 11.56% | 4.73% | 0.16% | 0.03% | Long Shot |
(Hudson's Keith Robinson #5 one of the best scorers in the area. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Glens Falls. They are defending state champions and are headed towards 50 straight wins. Coach Rob Girard has this team humming led by standouts Brady Holcomb, Kellen Driscoll, Oscar Lilac and Aiden Prunty. If any team in this classification can keep the final margin in any game vs. the Black Bears to 20 points or less I'd be impressed.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Hudson and Hudson Falls have the best shot at providing a test for Glens Falls. Hudson is paced by 1800+point career scorer, Keith Robinson. The Bluehawks breezed through the Patroon Conference schedule but stepping up from Class B to Class A should provide a tougher road for them. Hudson Falls finished the regular season at 16-4. Coach Greg Smith has his son Brady Smith, Jayden Hardwick and Jaymison Eisenhardt as double digit scorers. They'll need every bit of their balanced attack to continue on in this bracket.
Additional thoughts:
Catholic Central and Gloversville loom as teams that may give the higher seeds some trouble.
Click team name for season results.
| Broadalbin-Perth | A |
| Catholic Cent. | A |
| Cohoes | A |
| Glens Falls | A |
| Gloversville | A |
| Hudson | A |
| Hudson Falls | A |
| ICC | A |
| Lansingburgh | A |
| Ravena | A |
| Schalmont | A |
| Scotia | A |
| Watervliet | A |
Class B
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class B Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Hoosick Falls-1 | 81.59% | 50.56% | 32.76% | 19.42% | Contender |
| Voorheesville-3 | 80.43% | 48.00% | 28.33% | 15.80% | Contender |
| Mechanicville-2 | 65.24% | 44.01% | 24.75% | 13.88% | Contender |
| Greenville-4 | 73.22% | 40.98% | 19.10% | 9.38% | Dark Horse |
| Stillwater-11 | 60.00% | 30.27% | 16.17% | 8.10% | Dark Horse |
| Tamarac-9 | 56.39% | 26.47% | 14.79% | 7.42% | Dark Horse |
| Fonda-5 | 59.46% | 32.20% | 14.34% | 6.73% | Dark Horse |
| Corinth-8 | 43.61% | 17.87% | 8.86% | 3.89% | Long Shot |
| Cobleskill-7 | 53.78% | 21.19% | 8.56% | 3.44% | Long Shot |
| Schuylerville/NDBG-15/18 | 34.76% | 18.22% | 7.48% | 3.06% | Long Shot |
| Johnstown-6 | 40.00% | 16.39% | 7.14% | 2.88% | Long Shot |
| Catskill-12 | 40.54% | 18.23% | 6.48% | 2.45% | Long Shot |
| Greenwich-10 | 46.22% | 16.58% | 6.11% | 2.24% | Long Shot |
| Taconic Hills-13 | 26.78% | 8.59% | 2.11% | 0.56% | Long Shot |
| Coxsackie-Athens/Cambridge-16/17 | 18.41% | 5.10% | 1.56% | 0.40% | Long Shot |
| Cairo-Durham/Rensselaer-14/19 | 19.57% | 5.33% | 1.45% | 0.35% | Long Shot |
(Mechanicville's Cruz Goverski is a player to watch among the top seeds. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
No. Eight teams are within 10 points of each other in the latest updated computer ratings. A ton of parity in this classification which makes it the most interesting of the six Section 2 tournaments. Hoosick Falls, Voorheesville and Mechanicville are the top three rated teams in this classification but it's a razor thin margin between them. A Hoosick Falls vs Mechanicville final, if the seeds hold true, would be a father/son battle of coaches which would be interesting to say the least. (Mike Lilac Jr. vs Alex Lilac)
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
A bunch of teams including Stillwater, Tamarac, Greenville, Fonda, and Corinth.
Additional thoughts:
Early round games to watch: Johnstown vs. Stillwater. The 6th seeded Sir Bills out of the WAC have had a nice season at 14-6 match up against #11 Stillwater, 11-9, from the Wasaren League. After a rough early season start Stillwater has won 8 of 10 games. Should be a great first round game.
Click team name for season results.
| Cairo-Durham | B |
| Cambridge | B |
| Catskill | B |
| Chatham | B |
| Cobleskill | B |
| Corinth | B |
| Coxsackie-Athens | B |
| Fonda | B |
| Greenville | B |
| Greenwich | B |
| Hoosick Falls | B |
| Johnstown | B |
| Mechanicville | B |
| NDBG | B |
| Rensselaer | B |
| Schuylerville | B |
| Stillwater | B |
| Taconic Hills | B |
| Tamarac | B |
| Voorheesville | B |
Class C
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class C Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| Rd 16 | QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Berne-Knox-1 | 100.00% | 82.61% | 67.16% | 43.27% | Favorite |
| Duanesburg-2 | 95.66% | 78.86% | 49.11% | 25.69% | Favorite |
| Saratoga Catholic-3 | 92.92% | 64.52% | 33.01% | 15.46% | Contender |
| North Warren-4 | 77.06% | 45.94% | 13.13% | 4.72% | Long Shot |
| Hoosic Valley-6 | 68.14% | 26.66% | 10.02% | 3.39% | Long Shot |
| Maple Hill-5 | 64.14% | 33.19% | 8.29% | 2.64% | Long Shot |
| Granville-9 | 53.76% | 9.95% | 5.02% | 1.56% | Long Shot |
| Canajoharie-7 | 68.27% | 16.18% | 5.22% | 1.30% | Long Shot |
| Whitehall-8 | 46.24% | 7.44% | 3.48% | 0.97% | Long Shot |
| Middleburgh-12 | 35.86% | 13.68% | 2.14% | 0.44% | Long Shot |
| Fort Plain-11 | 31.86% | 7.57% | 1.72% | 0.34% | Long Shot |
| Schoharie-13 | 22.94% | 7.19% | 0.76% | 0.11% | Long Shot |
| Northville-10 | 31.73% | 3.97% | 0.72% | 0.10% | Long Shot |
| Lake George-14 | 7.08% | 1.26% | 0.12% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
| Waterford-15 | 4.34% | 1.00% | 0.09% | 0.01% | Long Shot |
(Duanesburg's Jeffrey Mulhern. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Berne Knox is undefeated 20-0 and has beat #2 seed Duanesburg twice by double digits and #3 seed Saratoga Catholic on the Saints home floor. Coach Andy Wright has had this program progressing towards this point the last few years and is primed to win the program's first sectional title since the late 70's. Shane Kirker, Dayne Coates and George Wright lead the Bulldogs offensive attack. Duanesburg's Jeff Mulhern has been a monster this season, coming back from last season's injury, recently scoring 48 and 50 points in back to back games. Coach Brett Simpson, who has done a really nice job with this program, will need to find more from his Eagles to knock off BKW.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Saratoga Catholic looms behind the top two teams led by Coach Shea Bromirski. They are 18-2 on the season with losses only to Class B top seed Hoosick Falls and Class C top seed Berne Knox Westerlo. They can shoot it from deep as well as any team in the bracket. It won't be a surprise if they are playing in the title game.
North Warren won the Class D state title last year and has moved up to Class C this year and could cause trouble for the higher seeds. Cougar Freshman Semaj Cuyler just topped 1000 career points and is a tough matchup for teams. Hoosic Valley has struggled towards the end of the regular season but play in the tough Wasaren League and won't be afraid of the higher seeds. Maple Hill, in Coach Scott Hanrahan's final season, always play tough defense. Can they get enough from the offense to win a couple games, we'll see?
Additional thoughts:
The bottom half of this bracket has struggled this year. It would take a huge effort for some of the lower seeds to knock off the top 4 seeds.
Click team name for season results.
| Argyle | C |
| Berlin-New Lebanon | C |
| Berne-Knox | C |
| Canajoharie | C |
| Duanesburg | C |
| Fort Plain | C |
| Galway | C |
| Granville | C |
| Hadley-Luzerne | C |
| Hoosic Valley | C |
| Lake George | C |
| Maple Hill | C |
| Mayfield | C |
| Middleburgh | C |
| North Warren | C |
| Northville | C |
| OESJ | C |
| Saratoga Catholic | C |
| Schoharie | C |
| Warrensburg | C |
| Waterford | C |
| Whitehall | C |
Class D
Sectional brackets. Predictions for each tournament generated by the season long computer rankings and thoughts on each classification.
Full Bracket Projections
| Class D Boys | Winning | Winning | Winning | Computer |
| QT. Final | Semi | Champ | Projection | |
| Loudonville Christian-1 | 100.00% | 71.12% | 44.55% | Favorite |
| Hawthorne Valley-2 | 74.47% | 51.55% | 27.35% | Favorite |
| Hartford-4 | 58.26% | 18.54% | 8.29% | Dark Horse |
| Fort Ann-3 | 55.52% | 21.91% | 7.95% | Dark Horse |
| Germantown-6 | 44.48% | 15.33% | 4.81% | Long Shot |
| Fort Edward-5 | 41.74% | 10.34% | 3.82% | Long Shot |
| Doane Stuart-7 | 25.53% | 11.21% | 3.23% | Long Shot |
(Loudonville Christian, from last year's Class D Championship game, look to make it back and win the title this season. Photo by Ed Bemiss.)
A few questions based on the numbers:
Are there any clear cut teams that are the favorite to win the title?
Yes. Loudonville Christian and Hawthorne Valley. They met twice during the regular season and Loudonville Christian won both games by single digits. Loudonville Christian played in the sectional final last year, (lost to North Warren) and are in a good position to get another crack at the title. Hawthorne Valley is led by Senior Oliver Towe who recently became the school's first 1000 point career scorer.
Is there a team seeded #4 or below the top contenders that could that could win a couple games, reach the final or win the classification?
Hartford and Fort Ann out of the Adirondack League are the next two highest rated teams in this bracket.
Additional thoughts:
It's going to be difficult for the teams in the lower part of the bracket to string together a couple of wins. It would be an upset if Loudonville Christian and Hawthorne Valley aren't playing for the title.
Click team name for season results.
| Doane Stuart | D |
| Fort Ann | D |
| Fort Edward | D |
| Germantown | D |
| Hartford | D |
| Hawthorne Valley | D |
| Loudonville Christian | D |
| Salem | D |
